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Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University

The evaluation of forecasting techniques as applied to housing starts

Abstract

dc:description.abstract

This thesis is a comparison of different forecasting procedures used in forecasting housing construction. The forecasting models developed are compared on the basis of error variance and the number of times the forecast falls outside "± K" limits. The author points out that what is needed is a simple forecasting technique which gives comparatively accurate forecasts. One such technique is obtained by using the simplest exponential smoothing model, that of single smoothing with a simple adaptive smoothing procedure, as described in this thesis.

Degree

thesis:*
Name thesis:degree_name
Master of Science
Level thesis:degree_level
masters
Discipline thesis:degree_discipline
Industrial Engineering and Operations Research
Department dc:contributor.department
Industrial Engineering and Operations Research
Grantor dc:publisher
Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University
Year dc:date.issued
1972

Author and committee

dc:creator, dc:contributor.*
Author dc:creator
  • Alexander, Suraj Mammen

Rights

dc:rights
Statement dc:rights
  • In Copyright
Language dc:language.iso
en

Identifiers

dc:identifier.*
Handle dc:identifier.uri
http://hdl.handle.net/10919/65017
OAI identifier oai:identifier
oai:vtechworks.lib.vt.edu:10919/65017

Chain of custody

source
Harvested from
Virginia Tech
Base URL
vtechworks.lib.vt.edu/oai/request
Last updated
2026-07-22
Source record
OAI-PMH GetRecord
related terms
citation

Alexander, Suraj Mammen. The evaluation of forecasting techniques as applied to housing starts. masters thesis, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, 1972. http://hdl.handle.net/10919/65017