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Virginia Tech

Soft Sensing-Driven CO<sub>2</sub> Predictive Models in Educational Buildings

Abstract

dc:description.abstract

Indoor Air Quality (IAQ) plays a vital role in occupant well-being. Among various factors, CO2 concentration impacts the productivity and cognitive functions of occupants. Different strategies can be utilized to improve IAQ, including context-aware ventilation, air purification technologies, and integration of indoor plants. Existing methods in the literature for reducing CO2 concentrations rely on direct sensing, which requires advanced infrastructure that may prevent scalability. This study investigates a soft sensing approach, utilizing readily accessible features from Building Management System (BMS) to develop predictive models for CO2 concentration, offering a cost-effective alternative to direct sensor-based measurements. We leverage two different datasets to explore the feasibility and accuracy of the soft sensing approach. The first dataset aggregates CO2 data points compiled from existing literature, providing a broad perspective of IAQ variations across various educational settings. The second dataset is a publicly available, high-resolution set of IAQ measurements from several spaces over a month, allowing for detailed model training and testing. By applying machine learning techniques, we developed models that predict CO2 concentrations based on different sets of variables. We observed that the Random Forest model could predict CO2 concentration with a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 37.57 by utilizing room temperature, outdoor temperature, and the hour of the day. Moreover, this study assesses the transferability of the predictive models trained on a limited number of data points. We observed that using occupancy percentage results in more transferable models compared to other variable sets. The main contribution of this study to the body of knowledge is the evaluation of the soft sensing approach, which could pave the way for creating more scalable and infrastructure-independent systems to improve indoor air quality in educational facilities.

Degree

thesis:*
Name thesis:degree_name
Master of Science
Level thesis:degree_level
masters
Discipline thesis:degree_discipline
Computer Science and Application
Department dc:contributor.department
Computer Science
Grantor dc:publisher
Virginia Tech
Year dc:date.issued
2024

Author and committee

dc:creator, dc:contributor.*
Author dc:creator
  • Meimand, Mostafa
Chairs dc:contributor.committeechair
  • Ji, Bo
  • Jazizadeh, Farrokh
Committee member dc:contributor.committeemember
  • Cho, Jin-Hee

Subjects

dc:subject × 5

Rights

dc:rights
Statement dc:rights
  • In Copyright
Language dc:language.iso
en

Identifiers

dc:identifier.*
Handle dc:identifier.uri
https://hdl.handle.net/10919/124331
OAI identifier oai:identifier
oai:vtechworks.lib.vt.edu:10919/124331

Chain of custody

source
Harvested from
Virginia Tech
Base URL
vtechworks.lib.vt.edu/oai/request
Last updated
2026-07-22
Source record
OAI-PMH GetRecord
citation

Meimand, Mostafa. Soft Sensing-Driven CO<sub>2</sub> Predictive Models in Educational Buildings. masters thesis, Virginia Tech, 2024. https://hdl.handle.net/10919/124331