Price Discovery and Volatility Spillover Effects: The Agricultural ETPS and Their Underlying Commodities

<p>This thesis investigates the price discovery and volatility spillover effects between agricultural ETPs and commodity underlying. We analyze historical prices of five most popular grain ETPs and their underlying commodities using VEC model and BEKK model. Price discovery is confirmed by bidirectional relationships between ETPs and underlying commodity in the long term, and the WEAT_ETP and CBOT Wheat Futures December Contracts. In addition, findings show unidirectional relationships between ETPs and underlying, mostly in the short term. In the process of price discovery, the information share of ETPs is much lower than that of underlying, with a potential downward trend. Volatility spillover is confirmed by bidirectional relationships between ETPs and underlying, such as JJG_ETP and soybean futures, and confirmed by unidirectional relationships, such as from wheat futures to DAG_ETP. For single commodity based ETPs, the degree of volatility spillover from the nearby futures contracts to ETPs is higher than that from distant futures contracts.</p>

Name thesis:degree_name

Master of Science (MS)

Level thesis:degree_level

Thesis - Open Access

Discipline thesis:degree_discipline

Economics

Year dc:date.available

2017

Author dc:creator

• Chen, Yu

Contributors dc:contributor

• Zhiguang Wang

• Economics

Licence

• http://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC/1.0/

Language dc:language

en

Repository record dc:identifier

https://openprairie.sdstate.edu/etd/1142

OAI identifier oai:identifier

oai:openprairie.sdstate.edu:etd-2145